EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Alexandreio Mellathron
Aris — San Pablo Burgos
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
93:80Came true
In short
Final score 93:80: the model's most likely outcome, Aris to win (56% incl. overtime), came true.
Aris are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.
The model expects a score around 83:81 — 164 points in total.
Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Aris −5.4, San Pablo Burgos −4.7 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Aris — San Pablo Burgos | 82.9–81.1 | |
| Total over 163.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 163.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Aris points
- San Pablo Burgos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 29.09away · Le Mans87:74
- 11.02away · Cluj-Napoca92:111
- 04.02Neptunas83:64
- 28.01away · Bahcesehir Kol.79:81
- 20.01away · Slask Wroclaw113:107
- 04.10away · Forca Lleida94:81
- 30.09Cedevita Olimpija85:81
- 27.09Baskonia97:98
- 29.05Granada110:105
- 24.05away · Joventut Badalona79:86
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group A
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Hapoel Jerusalem | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Aris | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Rostock | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs | Rigas Zelli | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 5 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 6 | Tortona | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 7 | Cedevita Olimpija | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
Next matches
- BilbaoSan Pablo Burgos11 October · Liga ACB60401The most likely outcome came true: 196:87Final score 96:87. Model's score: —.183.4
- ArisTortona14 October · EuroCup64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.6
EuroCup on the same day
- 31692The most likely outcome came true: 260:101Final score 60:101. Model's score: —.162.6
- 39612The most likely outcome did not happen: 298:92Final score 98:92. Model's score: —.173.5
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 193:84Final score 93:84. Model's score: —.165.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 189:83Final score 89:83. Model's score: —.166.1
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 192:87Final score 92:87. Model's score: —.162.1
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 1101:89Final score 101:89. Model's score: —.177.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →