EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Barcelona — Olympiacos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Olympiacos are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:90 — 175 points in total.
Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Barcelona −0.8, Olympiacos +7.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Olympiacos | 85.5–89.9 | |
| Total over 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Barcelona points
- Olympiacos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:87
- 11.10Valencia89:86
- 09.10Zalgiris Kaunas81:88
- 04.10away · Murcia94:100
- 02.10away · Besiktas95:82
- 13.10away · Valencia102:97
- 09.10Anadolu Efes89:66
- 01.10away · Virtus Bologna94:96
- 29.09away · Zalgiris Kaunas93:91
- 24.09away · Baskonia106:89
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Olympiacos — Barcelona87:75
- 12.12.2025Barcelona — Olympiacos98:85
- 07.02.2025Barcelona — Olympiacos88:90
- 31.10.2024Olympiacos — Barcelona95:74
- 08.05.2024Barcelona — Olympiacos59:63
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dubai | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Besiktas | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.4
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.8
- 75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.2
- 81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.9
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →