EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Palazzetto dello Sport
BC Roma — Lietkabelis
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
92:87Came true
In short
Final score 92:87: the model's most likely outcome, BC Roma to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
BC Roma are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.
The model expects a score around 82:80 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: BC Roma −6.6, Lietkabelis −5.6 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): BC Roma — Lietkabelis | 81.8–80.3 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- BC Roma points
- Lietkabelis points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.09KK Bosna75:72
- 11.02away · London Lions66:58
- 04.02Panionios89:62
- 27.01away · Turk Telekom75:85
- 21.01Trento93:94
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group D
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Bahcesehir Kol. | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | BC Roma | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs | Lietkabelis | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs | PAOK | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5 | Ulm | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 6 | Manresa | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 7 | KK Bosna | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Balkan | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Next matches
- LietkabelisPAOK13 October · EuroCup50502The most likely outcome did not happen: 295:86Final score 95:86. Model's score: —.162.1
- BC RomaBalkan13 October · EuroCup77231The most likely outcome came true: 177:72OTFinal score 77:72 in overtime. Model's score: —.172.1
EuroCup on the same day
- 31692The most likely outcome came true: 260:101Final score 60:101. Model's score: —.162.6
- 39612The most likely outcome did not happen: 298:92Final score 98:92. Model's score: —.173.5
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 193:80Final score 93:80. Model's score: —.164.0
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 193:84Final score 93:84. Model's score: —.165.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 189:83Final score 89:83. Model's score: —.166.1
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 1101:89Final score 101:89. Model's score: —.177.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →