Brasilia — Corinthians Paulista
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brasilia are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 82:77 — 159 points in total.
Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Brasilia +5.9, Corinthians Paulista +4.2 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Brasilia — Corinthians Paulista | 81.9–77.2 | |
| Total over 158.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 158.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Brasilia points
- Corinthians Paulista points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 29.05away · Franca66:68
- 27.05away · Franca71:69
- 24.05Franca74:91
- 22.05Franca67:50
- 19.05away · Franca67:76
- 27.05away · Pinheiros76:88
- 24.05Pinheiros81:82
- 21.05Pinheiros98:84
- 19.05away · Pinheiros65:95
- 13.05away · Minas92:81
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Brasilia — Corinthians Paulista89:74
- 13.12.2025Corinthians Paulista — Brasilia79:66
- 23.01.2025Brasilia — Corinthians Paulista74:70
- 03.11.2024Corinthians Paulista — Brasilia99:105
- 23.01.2024Corinthians Paulista — Brasilia87:64
NBB on the same day
- CearensePinheirospreliminary12882The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —162.0
- Uniao CorinthiansMinaspreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —170.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →