NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Cearense — Pinheiros

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Model prediction for 23 October

Cearense12%
Pinheiros88%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pinheiros are clear favourites: 88% against 12% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 74:88 — 162 points in total.

Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Cearense −10.3, Pinheiros +7.6 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Cearense — Pinheiros73.6–88.5
Total over 161.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 161.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Cearense points
  • Pinheiros points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Cearense

  • 17.04away · Cruzeiro77:86
  • 15.04away · Minas56:87
  • 07.04Caxias do Sul83:107
  • 04.04Uniao Corinthians94:93
  • 22.03away · Franca71:116

Pinheiros

  • 07.06away · Franca76:85
  • 04.06Franca94:92
  • 03.06Franca75:78
  • 31.05away · Franca73:82
  • 27.05Corinthians Paulista88:76

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Pinheiros — Cearense83:77
  • 19.12.2025Cearense — Pinheiros61:108
  • 11.04.2025Cearense — Pinheiros73:82
  • 14.12.2024Pinheiros — Cearense76:74
  • 09.03.2024Pinheiros — Cearense72:61

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →