NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Cruzeiro — Pato
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cruzeiro are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 84:78 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Cruzeiro −4.8, Pato −7.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Cruzeiro — Pato | 83.5–78.2 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Cruzeiro points
- Pato points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.04away · Minas93:103
- 26.04Minas74:101
- 25.04Minas97:81
- 22.04away · Minas94:99
- 17.04Cearense86:77
- 18.04away · Paulistano71:92
- 17.04away · Pinheiros55:88
- 11.04away · Osasco68:77
- 10.04away · Franca64:100
- 07.04Rio Claro70:78
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Cruzeiro — Pato89:81
- 30.10.2025Pato — Cruzeiro69:71
NBB on the same day
- MinasBrasiliapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.7
- OsascoPinheirospreliminary12882The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —162.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →