Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 21 October, 03:30 MSK

Ferro — Platense

Model prediction for 21 October

Ferro72%

Platense28%

Model estimate at 19:07 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ferro are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:82 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Ferro +0.3, Platense −3.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Ferro — Platense		88.7–81.6
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Ferro points
Platense points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Ferro

13.10away · Atenas86:91
10.10away · Instituto de Cordoba94:97
09.10away · Independiente de Oliva97:92
01.10away · Argentino68:79
03.06away · Gimnasia54:88

Platense

07.10La Union86:90
04.10away · Quimsa67:94
02.10away · Olimpico82:74
18.04San Martin77:79
16.04Regatas87:95

Head to head

23.01.2026Ferro — Platense85:86 OT
26.09.2025Platense — Ferro82:87
12.04.2025Ferro — Platense92:82
27.10.2024Platense — Ferro79:85
27.04.2024Ferro — Platense84:79

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Lanus	2	1	1	.500	1.5
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Platense	3	1	2	.333	2
13	Olimpico	3	1	2	.333	2
14	Boca Juniors	3	1	2	.333	2
15	Ferro	4	1	3	.250	2.5
16	Independiente de Oliva	1	0	1	.000	2

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

03:00
San MartinOlimpicopreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →