NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Flamengo — Bauru

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Model prediction for 18 October

Flamengo77%
Bauru23%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Flamengo are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:79 — 168 points in total.

Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Flamengo +7.4, Bauru +1.0 point in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Flamengo — Bauru88.7–79.3
Total over 167.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 167.5 (incl. OT)50%

231 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Flamengo points
  • Bauru points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Flamengo

  • 16.05away · Brasilia69:72
  • 14.05away · Brasilia96:88
  • 10.05Brasilia90:98
  • 09.05Brasilia83:66
  • 06.05away · Brasilia80:85

Bauru

  • 30.04away · Paulistano62:71
  • 27.04Paulistano88:75
  • 25.04Paulistano80:95
  • 22.04away · Paulistano77:80
  • 18.04away · Brasilia65:94

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Flamengo — Bauru79:92
  • 18.10.2025Bauru — Flamengo86:102
  • 14.04.2025Bauru — Flamengo84:88
  • 21.12.2024Flamengo — Bauru94:79
  • 24.05.2024Bauru — Flamengo72:110

Full record: 20 meetings →

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →