NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Franca — Mogi

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Model prediction for 22 October

Franca81%
Mogi19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Franca are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 85:74 — 158 points in total.

Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Franca +10.3, Mogi +2.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Franca — Mogi84.6–73.6
Total over 157.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 157.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Franca points
  • Mogi points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Franca

  • 07.06Pinheiros85:76
  • 04.06away · Pinheiros92:94
  • 03.06away · Pinheiros78:75
  • 31.05Pinheiros82:73
  • 29.05Brasilia68:66

Mogi

  • 16.05away · Franca77:78
  • 14.05away · Franca102:90
  • 10.05Franca70:88
  • 09.05Franca65:97
  • 06.05away · Franca95:93

Head to head

  • 16.05.2026Franca — Mogi78:77
  • 14.05.2026Franca — Mogi90:102
  • 10.05.2026Mogi — Franca70:88
  • 09.05.2026Mogi — Franca65:97
  • 06.05.2026Franca — Mogi93:95

Full record: 19 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • BauruSao Josepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.1
  • PatoPaulistanopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —154.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →