EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Anadolu Efes

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Model prediction for 28 October

Hapoel Tel Aviv69%
Anadolu Efes31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hapoel Tel Aviv are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 87:81 — 168 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Hapoel Tel Aviv −0.6, Anadolu Efes −3.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Hapoel Tel Aviv — Anadolu Efes86.8–80.9
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv points
  • Anadolu Efes points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • 08.10away · Valencia82:93
  • 01.10Real Madrid102:98
  • 29.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:80
  • 24.09Bayern84:86
  • 07.05Real Madrid81:87

Anadolu Efes

  • 09.10away · Olympiacos66:89
  • 01.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72:77
  • 29.09Real Madrid94:84
  • 24.09away · Barcelona82:89
  • 17.04away · Panathinaikos62:97

Head to head

  • 20.01.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv — Anadolu Efes71:66
  • 03.10.2025Anadolu Efes — Hapoel Tel Aviv81:87

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVirtus Bologna422.5002.5
11Hapoel Tel Aviv422.5002.5
12Real Madrid523.4003
14Lyon-Villeurbanne523.4003
15Anadolu Efes413.2503.5
16Paris413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →