EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Hapoel Tel Aviv — Virtus Bologna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hapoel Tel Aviv are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 90:84 — 174 points in total.
Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Hapoel Tel Aviv −0.6, Virtus Bologna −3.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Hapoel Tel Aviv — Virtus Bologna | 90.1–84.0 | |
| Total over 173.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 173.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Hapoel Tel Aviv points
- Virtus Bologna points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 08.10away · Valencia82:93
- 01.10Real Madrid102:98
- 29.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:80
- 24.09Bayern84:86
- 07.05Real Madrid81:87
- 08.10away · Bayern94:87
- 01.10Olympiacos96:94
- 29.09away · Olimpia Milano85:87
- 25.09away · Fenerbahce68:78
- 16.04away · Maccabi Tel Aviv89:85
Head to head
- 19.03.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv — Virtus Bologna109:91
- 12.12.2025Virtus Bologna — Hapoel Tel Aviv74:79
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Besiktas | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Virtus Bologna | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →