Houston Rockets — Oklahoma City Thunder
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Houston Rockets 50%, Oklahoma City Thunder 50%.
The model expects a score around 112:112 — 223 points in total.
Over 222.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Houston Rockets play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
- Pace: Houston Rockets 98.8, Oklahoma City Thunder 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Houston Rockets — Oklahoma City Thunder | 111.5–111.7 | |
| Total over 222.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 222.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Houston Rockets points
- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 02.05Los Angeles Lakers78:98
- 30.04away · Los Angeles Lakers99:93
- 27.04Los Angeles Lakers115:96
- 25.04Los Angeles Lakers108:112
- 22.04away · Los Angeles Lakers94:101
- 31.05San Antonio Spurs103:111
- 29.05away · San Antonio Spurs91:118
- 27.05San Antonio Spurs127:114
- 25.05away · San Antonio Spurs82:103
- 23.05away · San Antonio Spurs123:108
Head to head
- 07.02.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Houston Rockets106:112
- 16.01.2026Houston Rockets — Oklahoma City Thunder91:111
- 22.10.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Houston Rockets125:124 OT
- 05.04.2025Houston Rockets — Oklahoma City Thunder125:111
- 04.03.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Houston Rockets137:128
NBA on the same day
- Charlotte HornetsPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.6
- New Orleans PelicansAtlanta Hawkspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.3
- Memphis GrizzliesSacramento Kingspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.2
- Milwaukee BucksCleveland Cavalierspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —229.7
- San Antonio SpursMinnesota Timberwolvespreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.4
- Orlando MagicBoston Celticspreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —219.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →