Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Lanus — Penarol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Penarol are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 78:81 — 159 points in total.
Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Lanus −6.4, Penarol +0.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Lanus — Penarol | 77.8–80.9 | |
| Total over 158.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 158.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Lanus points
- Penarol points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Regatas | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 0.5 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →