Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Lanus — Regatas

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Model prediction for 27 October

Lanus32%
Regatas68%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Regatas are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 75:81 — 157 points in total.

Over 155.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Lanus −6.4, Regatas +3.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lanus — Regatas75.4–81.1
Total over 155.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 155.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Lanus points
  • Regatas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Lanus

  • 10.10Obera TC67:58
  • 29.09Gimnasia74:92

Regatas

  • 03.10Instituto de Cordoba73:63
  • 19.05Ferro85:87
  • 16.05away · Ferro79:71
  • 14.05away · Ferro75:90
  • 11.05Ferro81:60

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSan Lorenzo1101.0001
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRegatas1101.0001
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPenarol1101.0001
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union211.5001.5
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus211.5001.5
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense312.3332

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →