EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Pavelló Nou Congost

Manresa — Ulm

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Model prediction and result

101:89Came true
Manresa58%
Ulm42%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 101:89: the model's most likely outcome, Manresa to win (58% incl. overtime), came true.

Manresa are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 90:87 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Manresa −5.7, Ulm −5.9 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Manresa — Ulm89.9–87.2
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Manresa points
  • Ulm points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Manresa

  • 03.10Breogan95:101
  • 30.09away · PAOK78:93
  • 26.09away · Bilbao92:107
  • 29.05Real Madrid94:87
  • 23.05away · Gran Canaria87:80

Ulm

  • 30.09Balkan98:84
  • 10.02away · Trento68:76
  • 03.02Buducnost90:103
  • 28.01away · JL Bourg66:97
  • 21.01away · London Lions73:72

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsBC Roma321.6671
3, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
4, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
5Ulm211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • Real MadridManresa11 October · Liga ACB
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 120:83. Model's score: —.190.6
  • UlmKK Bosna14 October · EuroCup
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.0

EuroCup on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 60:101. Model's score: —.162.6
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 98:92. Model's score: —.173.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 93:80. Model's score: —.164.0
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 93:84. Model's score: —.165.3
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 89:83. Model's score: —.166.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 92:87. Model's score: —.162.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →