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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Minas — Brasilia

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Model prediction for 30 October

Minas56%
Brasilia44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minas are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

The model expects a score around 82:80 — 162 points in total.

Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Minas +5.0, Brasilia +5.9 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Minas — Brasilia81.9–79.8
Total over 161.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 161.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Minas points
  • Brasilia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Minas

  • 13.05Corinthians Paulista81:92
  • 10.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:103
  • 08.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:91
  • 05.05Corinthians Paulista90:100
  • 30.04Cruzeiro103:93

Brasilia

  • 29.05away · Franca66:68
  • 27.05away · Franca71:69
  • 24.05Franca74:91
  • 22.05Franca67:50
  • 19.05away · Franca67:76

Head to head

  • 18.02.2026Minas — Brasilia92:91
  • 11.11.2025Brasilia — Minas80:78
  • 02.04.2025Brasilia — Minas63:77
  • 13.10.2024Minas — Brasilia74:66
  • 18.01.2024Brasilia — Minas68:111

Full record: 13 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • CruzeiroPatopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.7
  • OsascoPinheirospreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —162.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →