NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Minas — Pato
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minas are clear favourites: 88% against 12% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:74 — 163 points in total.
Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Minas +5.0, Pato −7.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Minas — Pato | 89.0–73.8 | |
| Total over 162.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 162.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Minas points
- Pato points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.05Corinthians Paulista81:92
- 10.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:103
- 08.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:91
- 05.05Corinthians Paulista90:100
- 30.04Cruzeiro103:93
- 18.04away · Paulistano71:92
- 17.04away · Pinheiros55:88
- 11.04away · Osasco68:77
- 10.04away · Franca64:100
- 07.04Rio Claro70:78
Head to head
- 22.01.2026Minas — Pato75:67
- 28.10.2025Pato — Minas75:76
- 04.04.2025Pato — Minas72:75
- 06.12.2024Minas — Pato97:70
- 06.04.2024Pato — Minas69:77
NBB on the same day
- CruzeiroBrasiliapreliminary27732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.6
- PinheirosUniao Corinthianspreliminary86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →