Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
MoraBanc Andorra — Breogan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Breogan are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.
The model expects a score around 98:99 — 196 points in total.
Over 195.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: MoraBanc Andorra −4.6, Breogan −0.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): MoraBanc Andorra — Breogan | 97.6–98.7 | |
| Total over 195.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 195.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- MoraBanc Andorra points
- Breogan points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 10.10away · Unicaja84:92
- 26.09Obradoiro CAB85:90
- 29.05Barcelona95:100
- 24.05away · Forca Lleida116:88
- 17.05San Pablo Burgos83:85
- 10.10Basquet Girona115:92
- 03.10away · Manresa101:95
- 27.09Joventut Badalona110:104
- 29.05Basket Zaragoza94:95
- 23.05away · Unicaja83:101
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Breogan — MoraBanc Andorra97:99
- 17.01.2026MoraBanc Andorra — Breogan101:104
- 08.03.2025Breogan — MoraBanc Andorra94:74
- 04.01.2025MoraBanc Andorra — Breogan93:101
- 10.05.2024Breogan — MoraBanc Andorra97:92
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 15 | Murcia | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 16 | MoraBanc Andorra | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 17, Relegation | Joventut Badalona | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.0
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —187.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →