NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 31 October

Phoenix Suns47%
Denver Nuggets53%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Phoenix Suns 47%, Denver Nuggets 53%.

The model expects a score around 115:116 — 232 points in total.

Over 231.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 4.2 points a game.
  • Pace: Phoenix Suns 99.9, Denver Nuggets 102.1 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets115.3–116.4
Total over 231.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 231.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Phoenix Suns points
  • Denver Nuggets points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Phoenix Suns

  • 28.04Oklahoma City Thunder122:131
  • 25.04Oklahoma City Thunder109:121
  • 23.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:120
  • 19.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder84:119
  • 18.04Golden State Warriors111:96

Denver Nuggets

  • 01.05away · Minnesota Timberwolves98:110
  • 28.04Minnesota Timberwolves125:113
  • 26.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:112
  • 24.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:113
  • 21.04Minnesota Timberwolves114:119

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets123:125
  • 30.11.2025Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets112:130
  • 26.10.2025Denver Nuggets — Phoenix Suns133:111
  • 08.03.2025Denver Nuggets — Phoenix Suns149:141 OT
  • 09.02.2025Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets105:122

Full record: 34 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →