Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Racing de Chivilcoy — Quimsa

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Model prediction for 26 October

Racing de Chivilcoy29%
Quimsa71%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Quimsa are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 81:88 — 168 points in total.

Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Racing de Chivilcoy −3.5, Quimsa +7.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Racing de Chivilcoy — Quimsa80.8–87.6
Total over 167.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 167.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Racing de Chivilcoy

  • 11.10Gimnasia72:78
  • 09.10San Martin126:123
  • 18.04Regatas76:93
  • 13.04San Lorenzo80:66
  • 11.04Obera TC91:84

Quimsa

  • 11.10Boca Juniors105:96
  • 06.10Atenas83:77
  • 04.10Platense94:67
  • 21.06away · Gimnasia56:68
  • 18.06Gimnasia88:60

Head to head

  • 24.03.2026Racing de Chivilcoy — Quimsa82:73
  • 22.10.2025Quimsa — Racing de Chivilcoy79:90

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsQuimsa3301.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSan Lorenzo1101.0001
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union211.5001.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsRacing de Chivilcoy211.5001.5
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus211.5001.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →