EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Real Madrid — Lyon-Villeurbanne
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 94:82 — 175 points in total.
Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Real Madrid +2.2, Lyon-Villeurbanne −6.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Real Madrid — Lyon-Villeurbanne | 93.7–81.6 | |
| Total over 174.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 174.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Real Madrid points
- Lyon-Villeurbanne points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Olimpia Milano98:89
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- 13.10Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet82:84
- 07.10away · Paris98:96
- 02.10Valencia92:105
- 30.09away · Panathinaikos79:102
- 24.09Maccabi Tel Aviv84:74
Head to head
- 06.01.2026Lyon-Villeurbanne — Real Madrid69:80
- 09.10.2025Real Madrid — Lyon-Villeurbanne85:72
- 20.03.2025Real Madrid — Lyon-Villeurbanne81:70
- 03.12.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Real Madrid80:78
- 01.02.2024Real Madrid — Lyon-Villeurbanne86:79
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 14 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 15 | Anadolu Efes | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.3
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.3
- 86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —186.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →