NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

San Antonio Spurs — Minnesota Timberwolves

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Model prediction for 1 November

San Antonio Spurs81%
Minnesota Timberwolves19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 120:109 — 229 points in total.

Over 228.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Minnesota Timberwolves without Donte DiVincenzo: that costs the team about 2.1 points a game.
  • Minnesota Timberwolves play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — Minnesota Timberwolves120.5–108.8
Total over 228.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 228.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

San Antonio Spurs

  • 14.06New York Knicks90:94
  • 11.06away · New York Knicks106:107
  • 09.06away · New York Knicks115:111
  • 06.06New York Knicks104:105
  • 04.06New York Knicks95:105

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 16.05San Antonio Spurs109:139
  • 13.05away · San Antonio Spurs97:126
  • 11.05San Antonio Spurs114:109
  • 09.05San Antonio Spurs108:115
  • 07.05away · San Antonio Spurs95:133

Head to head

  • 16.05.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — San Antonio Spurs109:139
  • 13.05.2026San Antonio Spurs — Minnesota Timberwolves126:97
  • 11.05.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — San Antonio Spurs114:109
  • 09.05.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — San Antonio Spurs108:115
  • 07.05.2026San Antonio Spurs — Minnesota Timberwolves133:95

Full record: 29 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →