NBA (National Basketball Association) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

San Antonio Spurs — Oklahoma City Thunder

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Model prediction for 21 October

San Antonio Spurs55%
Oklahoma City Thunder45%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 114:112 — 226 points in total.

Over 225.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Pace: San Antonio Spurs 99.7, Oklahoma City Thunder 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — Oklahoma City Thunder113.6–112.1
Total over 225.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 225.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • San Antonio Spurs points
  • Oklahoma City Thunder points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

San Antonio Spurs

  • 14.06New York Knicks90:94
  • 11.06away · New York Knicks106:107
  • 09.06away · New York Knicks115:111
  • 06.06New York Knicks104:105
  • 04.06New York Knicks95:105

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 31.05San Antonio Spurs103:111
  • 29.05away · San Antonio Spurs91:118
  • 27.05San Antonio Spurs127:114
  • 25.05away · San Antonio Spurs82:103
  • 23.05away · San Antonio Spurs123:108

Head to head

  • 31.05.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — San Antonio Spurs103:111
  • 29.05.2026San Antonio Spurs — Oklahoma City Thunder118:91
  • 27.05.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — San Antonio Spurs127:114
  • 25.05.2026San Antonio Spurs — Oklahoma City Thunder103:82
  • 23.05.2026San Antonio Spurs — Oklahoma City Thunder108:123

Full record: 32 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →