NBA (National Basketball Association) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings

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Model prediction for 28 October

San Antonio Spurs87%
Sacramento Kings13%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 87% against 13% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 121:105 — 226 points in total.

Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud: that costs the team about 5.7 points a game.
  • Pace: San Antonio Spurs 99.7, Sacramento Kings 100.5 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings121.0–105.4
Total over 226.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 226.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

San Antonio Spurs

  • 14.06New York Knicks90:94
  • 11.06away · New York Knicks106:107
  • 09.06away · New York Knicks115:111
  • 06.06New York Knicks104:105
  • 04.06New York Knicks95:105

Sacramento Kings

  • 13.04away · Portland Trail Blazers110:122
  • 11.04Golden State Warriors124:118
  • 08.04away · Golden State Warriors105:110
  • 06.04Los Angeles Clippers109:138
  • 04.04New Orleans Pelicans117:113

Head to head

  • 18.03.2026Sacramento Kings — San Antonio Spurs104:132
  • 22.02.2026San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings139:122
  • 17.11.2025San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings123:110
  • 08.03.2025Sacramento Kings — San Antonio Spurs127:109
  • 07.12.2024San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings113:140

Full record: 23 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 87% will not happen in roughly 13 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →