Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

San Martin — Olimpico

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 21 October

San Martin62%
Olimpico38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Martin are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:79 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Martin −2.1, Olimpico −1.9 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Martin — Olimpico82.5–78.9
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)49%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • San Martin points
  • Olimpico points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

San Martin

  • 11.10away · Argentino79:82
  • 09.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy123:126
  • 01.10Instituto de Cordoba73:81
  • 01.05Boca Juniors97:101
  • 28.04away · Boca Juniors81:83

Olimpico

  • 13.10Boca Juniors93:80
  • 08.10Atenas87:91
  • 02.10Platense74:82
  • 13.04away · San Martin67:78
  • 11.04away · Regatas75:99

Head to head

  • 13.04.2026San Martin — Olimpico78:67
  • 19.01.2026Olimpico — San Martin77:64
  • 05.02.2025San Martin — Olimpico79:78
  • 18.12.2024Olimpico — San Martin83:71
  • 07.05.2024Olimpico — San Martin65:69

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense312.3332
13Olimpico312.3332
14Boca Juniors312.3332
16Independiente de Oliva101.0002
17, Relegation play-offSan Martin303.0003
18, Relegation play-offObera TC202.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • FerroPlatensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →