Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
San Pablo Burgos — Obradoiro CAB
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
San Pablo Burgos are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 95:93 — 188 points in total.
Over 186.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: San Pablo Burgos −1.5, Obradoiro CAB −0.9 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): San Pablo Burgos — Obradoiro CAB | 95.3–92.5 | |
| Total over 186.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 186.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- San Pablo Burgos points
- Obradoiro CAB points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10away · Bilbao87:96
- 07.10away · Aris80:93
- 04.10away · Forca Lleida94:81
- 30.09Cedevita Olimpija85:81
- 27.09Baskonia97:98
- 11.10Forca Lleida91:89
- 04.10Real Madrid107:114
- 26.09away · MoraBanc Andorra90:85
- 12.05Joventut Badalona97:71
- 09.05away · Palencia81:75
Head to head
- 16.04.2022San Pablo Burgos — Obradoiro CAB77:82
- 18.12.2021Obradoiro CAB — San Pablo Burgos101:94
- 23.05.2021San Pablo Burgos — Obradoiro CAB83:77
- 21.11.2020Obradoiro CAB — San Pablo Burgos63:78
- 11.01.2020Obradoiro CAB — San Pablo Burgos73:76
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Playoffs | Obradoiro CAB | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 8, Playoffs | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 9 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 10 | Basquet Girona | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.0
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —196.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →