LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Santos — Abejas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Evenly matched: Santos 51%, Abejas 49%.
The model expects a score around 88:88 — 176 points in total.
Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Santos −6.0, Abejas −4.8 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Santos — Abejas | 88.1–87.7 | |
| Total over 175.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 175.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Santos points
- Abejas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Abejas74:84
- 12.10away · Abejas106:82
- 08.10away · Mineros93:82
- 07.10away · Mineros75:96
- 03.10Freseros108:87
- 13.10Santos84:74
- 12.10Santos82:106
- 08.10away · Correcaminos95:89
- 07.10away · Correcaminos98:76
- 03.10away · Mineros81:74
Head to head
- 13.10.2026Abejas — Santos84:74
- 12.10.2026Abejas — Santos82:106
- 27.09.2026Abejas — Santos92:78
- 26.09.2026Abejas — Santos86:87
- 09.08.2025Santos — Abejas90:75
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mineros | 15 | 13 | .536 | 6 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Abejas | 12 | 16 | .429 | 9 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Santos | 11 | 17 | .393 | 10 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Diablos Rojos | 11 | 17 | .393 | 10 |
LNBP on the same day
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →