NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Uniao Corinthians — Minas

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Model prediction for 23 October

Uniao Corinthians35%
Minas65%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minas are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:88 — 171 point in total.

Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Uniao Corinthians −2.9, Minas +5.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Uniao Corinthians — Minas83.0–87.9
Total over 170.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 170.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Minas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.05away · Flamengo77:104
  • 28.04Flamengo77:90
  • 26.04Flamengo84:83
  • 23.04away · Flamengo72:102
  • 18.04Sao Jose97:88

Minas

  • 13.05Corinthians Paulista81:92
  • 10.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:103
  • 08.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:91
  • 05.05Corinthians Paulista90:100
  • 30.04Cruzeiro103:93

Head to head

  • 18.03.2026Minas — Uniao Corinthians92:82
  • 06.12.2025Uniao Corinthians — Minas71:74
  • 30.03.2025Minas — Uniao Corinthians92:81
  • 15.11.2024Uniao Corinthians — Minas71:89
  • 24.04.2024Minas — Uniao Corinthians81:73

Full record: 12 meetings →

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →