EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Valencia — Maccabi Tel Aviv
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 100:87 — 186 points in total.
Over 185.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Valencia +4.1, Maccabi Tel Aviv −5.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Maccabi Tel Aviv | 99.6–86.8 | |
| Total over 185.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 185.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Valencia points
- Maccabi Tel Aviv points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10Olympiacos97:102
- 11.10away · Barcelona86:89
- 08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
- 04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
- 02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92
- 13.10away · Barcelona87:90
- 08.10Olimpia Milano97:79
- 02.10away · Panathinaikos67:90
- 30.09Besiktas93:109
- 24.09away · Lyon-Villeurbanne74:84
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Valencia — Maccabi Tel Aviv94:83
- 18.12.2025Maccabi Tel Aviv — Valencia85:82
- 27.03.2024Maccabi Tel Aviv — Valencia95:80
- 18.10.2023Valencia — Maccabi Tel Aviv75:66
- 02.02.2023Valencia — Maccabi Tel Aviv93:94
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 17 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 18 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.3
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.3
- 84161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —175.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →