EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Virtus Bologna — Zalgiris Kaunas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zalgiris Kaunas are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.
The model expects a score around 85:86 — 171 point in total.
Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Virtus Bologna −3.3, Zalgiris Kaunas +1.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Virtus Bologna — Zalgiris Kaunas | 84.8–85.8 | |
| Total over 169.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 169.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Virtus Bologna points
- Zalgiris Kaunas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 08.10away · Bayern94:87
- 01.10Olympiacos96:94
- 29.09away · Olimpia Milano85:87
- 25.09away · Fenerbahce68:78
- 16.04away · Maccabi Tel Aviv89:85
- 13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
- 09.10away · Barcelona88:81
- 01.10away · Paris78:82
- 29.09Olympiacos91:93
- 24.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83:77
Head to head
- 06.01.2026Virtus Bologna — Zalgiris Kaunas83:79
- 28.10.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Virtus Bologna86:65
- 15.01.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Virtus Bologna77:68
- 15.10.2024Virtus Bologna — Zalgiris Kaunas68:71
- 19.03.2024Zalgiris Kaunas — Virtus Bologna96:81
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Besiktas | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Virtus Bologna | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 14 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- BesiktasOlympiacospreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —181.2
- Hapoel Tel AvivAnadolu Efespreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.7
- Lyon-VilleurbannePartizan Mozzart Betpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —164.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →