EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Zalgiris Kaunas — Anadolu Efes

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Model prediction for 16 October

Zalgiris Kaunas74%
Anadolu Efes26%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Zalgiris Kaunas are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:78 — 164 points in total.

Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Zalgiris Kaunas +1.1, Anadolu Efes −3.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Zalgiris Kaunas — Anadolu Efes85.7–78.1
Total over 163.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 163.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Zalgiris Kaunas points
  • Anadolu Efes points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Zalgiris Kaunas

  • 13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
  • 09.10away · Barcelona88:81
  • 01.10away · Paris78:82
  • 29.09Olympiacos91:93
  • 24.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83:77

Anadolu Efes

  • 09.10away · Olympiacos66:89
  • 01.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72:77
  • 29.09Real Madrid94:84
  • 24.09away · Barcelona82:89
  • 17.04away · Panathinaikos62:97

Head to head

  • 06.02.2026Anadolu Efes — Zalgiris Kaunas92:82
  • 17.12.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Anadolu Efes64:87
  • 11.04.2025Anadolu Efes — Zalgiris Kaunas87:77
  • 05.12.2024Zalgiris Kaunas — Anadolu Efes85:72
  • 31.01.2024Zalgiris Kaunas — Anadolu Efes96:70

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
12Real Madrid523.4003
13Zalgiris Kaunas523.4003
14Lyon-Villeurbanne523.4003
15Anadolu Efes413.2503.5
16Paris413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →