EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Zalgiris Kaunas — Lyon-Villeurbanne
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zalgiris Kaunas are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 91:80 — 170 points in total.
Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Zalgiris Kaunas +1.1, Lyon-Villeurbanne −6.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Zalgiris Kaunas — Lyon-Villeurbanne | 90.7–79.7 | |
| Total over 169.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 169.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Zalgiris Kaunas points
- Lyon-Villeurbanne points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
- 09.10away · Barcelona88:81
- 01.10away · Paris78:82
- 29.09Olympiacos91:93
- 24.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83:77
- 13.10Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet82:84
- 07.10away · Paris98:96
- 02.10Valencia92:105
- 30.09away · Panathinaikos79:102
- 24.09Maccabi Tel Aviv84:74
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Lyon-Villeurbanne — Zalgiris Kaunas77:96
- 30.10.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Lyon-Villeurbanne96:59
- 27.03.2025Lyon-Villeurbanne — Zalgiris Kaunas88:79
- 20.12.2024Zalgiris Kaunas — Lyon-Villeurbanne72:78
- 04.01.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Zalgiris Kaunas93:79
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 14 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 15 | Anadolu Efes | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- OlympiacosFenerbahcepreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.0
- ParisValenciapreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —187.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →