NHL · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks — Edmonton Oilers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:5Came true
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Edmonton Oilers to win (54% incl. overtime), came true.
Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 6.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 68%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 3.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Edmonton Oilers | 3.1–3.3 | |
| Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 68% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 32% |
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- Anaheim Ducks goals
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Form
- 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT
- 03.10away · Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 15.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
- 13.05away · Vegas Golden Knights2:3 OT
- 11.05Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
- 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
- 30.09Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
- 01.05away · Anaheim Ducks2:5
- 29.04Anaheim Ducks4:1
Head to head
- 01.05.2026Anaheim Ducks — Edmonton Oilers5:2
- 29.04.2026Edmonton Oilers — Anaheim Ducks4:1
- 27.04.2026Anaheim Ducks — Edmonton Oilers4:3 OT
- 25.04.2026Anaheim Ducks — Edmonton Oilers7:4
- 23.04.2026Edmonton Oilers — Anaheim Ducks4:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
Next matches
- Winnipeg JetsAnaheim Ducks10 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- San Jose SharksEdmonton Oilers10 October · NHL39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.4
NHL on the same day
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 34662The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →