AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Bakersfield Condors are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- Bakersfield Condors are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers | 3.4–2.8 | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Calgary Wranglers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bakersfield Condors
- Bakersfield Condors goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Calgary Wranglers5:4
- 10.10away · Calgary Wranglers1:2
- 05.10away · Henderson Silver Knights3:1
- 04.10away · Henderson Silver Knights3:4
- 27.04away · Coachella Valley Firebirds2:6
- 11.10Bakersfield Condors4:5
- 10.10Bakersfield Condors2:1
- 04.10Abbotsford Canucks4:2
- 03.10Abbotsford Canucks4:2
- 19.04away · Colorado Eagles7:5
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Calgary Wranglers — Bakersfield Condors4:5
- 10.10.2026Calgary Wranglers — Bakersfield Condors2:1
- 22.03.2026Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers1:0
- 21.02.2026Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers4:5 OT
- 04.02.2026Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers3:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 4 | 3 | +9 | 6 | .750 |
| 5 | Calgary Wranglers | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 6 | Colorado Eagles | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →