Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Baranavichy — Molodechno

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Model prediction for 28 October

Baranavichy22%
Draw in regulation20%
Molodechno59%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Molodechno are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Baranavichy — Molodechno2.0–3.2
Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout)28%
Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout)72%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Baranavichy
  • Baranavichy goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Baranavichy

  • 11.10Vitebsk3:5
  • 09.10Vitebsk4:2
  • 05.10away · Soligorsk5:4
  • 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4
  • 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0

Molodechno

  • 11.10away · Novopolotsk3:2
  • 09.10away · Novopolotsk6:1
  • 06.10Brest2:3
  • 04.10Brest1:2 OT
  • 29.09Zhlobin3:0

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Molodechno — Baranavichy5:2
  • 16.01.2026Molodechno — Baranavichy6:0
  • 14.10.2025Baranavichy — Molodechno1:2
  • 12.10.2025Baranavichy — Molodechno2:6
  • 12.01.2025Molodechno — Baranavichy6:0

Full record: 8 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.4
  • SoligorskGomelpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • VitebskLidapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →