PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Monday, 12 October, MSK

Brest — Zhlobin

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:3Came true
Brest31%
Draw in regulation21%
Zhlobin47%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Zhlobin to win (59% incl. overtime), came true.

Zhlobin are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Zhlobin are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brest — Zhlobin2.4–2.9
Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brest
  • Brest goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Brest

  • 10.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 06.10away · Molodechno3:2
  • 04.10away · Molodechno2:1 OT
  • 29.09Neman Grodno4:2
  • 27.09Neman Grodno3:1

Zhlobin

  • 10.10away · Brest4:1
  • 04.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
  • 03.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
  • 29.09away · Molodechno0:3
  • 27.09away · Molodechno4:1

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Brest — Zhlobin1:4
  • 01.12.2025Brest — Zhlobin2:1 OT
  • 29.11.2025Brest — Zhlobin1:4
  • 14.09.2025Zhlobin — Brest2:1
  • 12.09.2025Zhlobin — Brest1:2

Next matches

  • BrestNovopolotsk15 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 4:15.6
  • ZhlobinSoligorsk16 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • SlavutychLida
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
  • Yunost MinskSoligorsk
    2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →