SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Brynas — Farjestad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Brynas 49%, Farjestad 51% including overtime.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brynas — Farjestad | 2.6–2.6 | |
| Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Farjestad to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Brynas
- Brynas goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · HV 712:3
- 08.10IF Bjorkloven4:1
- 03.10away · Malmo0:1
- 01.10away · Frolunda1:2
- 29.09Timra1:0
- 10.10Malmo6:2
- 08.10away · Skelleftea5:1
- 03.10HV 713:1
- 01.10away · Djurgarden4:0
- 26.09away · IF Bjorkloven5:0
Head to head
- 07.02.2026Brynas — Farjestad5:0
- 17.01.2026Farjestad — Brynas7:0
- 25.10.2025Brynas — Farjestad1:3
- 04.10.2025Farjestad — Brynas1:2
- 11.03.2025Brynas — Farjestad1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Farjestad | 8 | 7 | +26 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Brynas | 8 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Rogle | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
SHL on the same day
- LuleaIF Bjorklovenpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- OrebroFrolundapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- RogleMalmopreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- SkellefteaLinkopingpreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
- TimraVaxjopreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- DjurgardenHV 71preliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →