Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Ceske Budejovice — Mountfield HK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Ceske Budejovice 52%, Mountfield HK 48% including overtime.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ceske Budejovice — Mountfield HK | 2.5–2.4 | |
| Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ceske Budejovice
- Ceske Budejovice goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Liberec4:3
- 08.10away · Plzen1:4
- 05.10Kometa Brno5:1
- 01.10away · Sparta Prague2:4
- 29.09away · Pardubice2:5
- 11.10Olomouc3:1
- 09.10away · Trinec2:5
- 04.10Vitkovice3:2 OT
- 02.10away · Kladno4:3 SO
- 29.09Sparta Prague4:3
Head to head
- 18.09.2026Mountfield HK — Ceske Budejovice0:2
- 11.01.2026Ceske Budejovice — Mountfield HK5:1
- 30.11.2025Mountfield HK — Ceske Budejovice4:2
- 21.10.2025Ceske Budejovice — Mountfield HK0:3
- 12.09.2025Mountfield HK — Ceske Budejovice3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ceske Budejovice | 10 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- PlzenOlomoucpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Karlovy VaryMlada Boleslavpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- KladnoSparta Praguepreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- PardubiceLitvinovpreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →