AHL (American Hockey League) · Tuesday, 27 October, 19:00 MSK

Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose

Model prediction for 27 October

Chicago Wolves41%

Draw in regulation21%

Manitoba Moose37%

Model estimate at 23:15 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Chicago Wolves 52%, Manitoba Moose 48% including overtime.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose		2.8–2.7
Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout)		52%
Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout)		48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Totals incl. OT
Handicap Chicago Wolves
Chicago Wolves goals
Overtime chance
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Form

Chicago Wolves

11.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
11.10Manitoba Moose1:6
04.10away · Manitoba Moose3:8
03.10away · Manitoba Moose0:3
20.06away · Toronto Marlies3:4

Manitoba Moose

11.10away · Chicago Wolves6:1
10.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:2
04.10Chicago Wolves8:3
03.10Chicago Wolves3:0
09.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5

Head to head

11.10.2026Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose1:6
04.10.2026Manitoba Moose — Chicago Wolves8:3
03.10.2026Manitoba Moose — Chicago Wolves3:0
16.04.2026Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose3:2 SO
12.01.2026Chicago Wolves — Manitoba Moose4:3 OT

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts	P%
2	Milwaukee Admirals	2	2	0	0	7–2	+5	4	1.000
3	Manitoba Moose	4	3	0	1	18–6	+12	6	.750
4	Laval Rocket	4	3	0	1	16–7	+9	6	.750
31	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3	0	1	2	8–15	-7	1	.167
32	Chicago Wolves	4	0	0	4	5–22	-17	0	.000

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →