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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Djurgarden — HV 71

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Model prediction for 29 October

Djurgarden43%
Draw in regulation22%
HV 7135%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Djurgarden are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Djurgarden — HV 712.7–2.5
Djurgarden to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
HV 71 to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Djurgarden
  • Djurgarden goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Djurgarden

  • 10.10Linkoping5:1
  • 08.10Orebro2:1
  • 03.10away · Frolunda2:4
  • 01.10Farjestad0:4
  • 26.09away · Timra2:3 OT

HV 71

  • 10.10Brynas3:2
  • 08.10away · Rogle3:4
  • 03.10away · Farjestad1:3
  • 01.10Orebro2:1 OT
  • 29.09away · IF Bjorkloven2:4

Head to head

  • 26.02.2026Djurgarden — HV 714:0
  • 20.12.2025HV 71 — Djurgarden5:2
  • 30.10.2025Djurgarden — HV 711:6
  • 16.10.2025HV 71 — Djurgarden7:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVaxjo8211425–30-59
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69
12HV 718121424–29-58
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • LuleaIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • OrebroFrolundapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • RogleMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • SkellefteaLinkopingpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
  • TimraVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →