DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Frankfurt Lowen — ERC Ingolstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
ERC Ingolstadt are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- ERC Ingolstadt are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Frankfurt Lowen — ERC Ingolstadt | 2.5–3.2 | |
| Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Frankfurt Lowen
- Frankfurt Lowen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · ERC Ingolstadt3:2 SO
- 08.10Krefeld Pinguine2:5
- 04.10away · Bremerhaven1:2
- 02.10Eisbaren Berlin0:2
- 27.09away · Munchen4:1
- 11.10Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Munchen5:1
- 04.10Kolner3:6
- 02.10away · Krefeld Pinguine1:3
- 27.09Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
Head to head
- 11.10.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 18.01.2026Frankfurt Lowen — ERC Ingolstadt1:2 SO
- 06.01.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Frankfurt Lowen6:3
- 02.11.2025Frankfurt Lowen — ERC Ingolstadt0:8
- 12.10.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Frankfurt Lowen5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kolner | 8 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
DEL on the same day
- BremerhavenStraubing Tigerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Eisbaren BerlinAdler Mannheimpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- Grizzly WolfsburgAugsburger Pantherpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.9
- MunchenNurnberg Ice Tigerspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.6
- SchwenningerKrefeld Pinguinepreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.3
- KolnerIserlohn Roosterspreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →