VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Gornyak — Dyn. Altay

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Model prediction for 31 October

Gornyak60%
Draw in regulation20%
Dyn. Altay21%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gornyak are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Gornyak are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Gornyak — Dyn. Altay3.1–1.9
Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout)72%
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)28%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Gornyak
  • Gornyak goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Gornyak

  • 06.10Bars2:3
  • 04.10Almetyevsk1:2 SO
  • 02.10CSK VVS5:2
  • 26.09away · Khimik4:1
  • 24.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:2

Dyn. Altay

  • 13.10Olympia1:4
  • 07.10away · Kristall Saratov4:5 SO
  • 05.10away · Dizel1:3
  • 03.10away · Tambov0:2
  • 01.10away · Buran Voronezh2:4

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Dyn. Altay — Gornyak1:7
  • 24.10.2025Gornyak — Dyn. Altay2:3 SO
  • 14.03.2025Gornyak — Dyn. Altay3:0
  • 17.09.2024Dyn. Altay — Gornyak1:4
  • 18.01.2024Dyn. Altay — Gornyak0:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, PlayoffsTambov1372434–34016
13, PlayoffsGornyak1071229–18+1115
14, PlayoffsBars1471635–44-915
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • RyazanBarspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →