AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Hamilton Hammers — Syracuse Crunch

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Model prediction for 18 October

Hamilton Hammers34%
Draw in regulation21%
Syracuse Crunch45%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Syracuse Crunch are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • Syracuse Crunch are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hamilton Hammers — Syracuse Crunch2.8–3.1
Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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Form

Hamilton Hammers

  • 11.10Toronto Marlies2:5
  • 10.10Toronto Marlies4:5 SO
  • 03.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
  • 03.10away · Belleville Senators5:2

Syracuse Crunch

  • 11.10Belleville Senators2:3
  • 10.10away · Rochester Americans1:7
  • 03.10away · Laval Rocket1:6
  • 03.10away · Laval Rocket2:0
  • 03.05Cleveland Monsters1:2 OT

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
22Belleville Senators420210–13-34.500
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375
24Abbotsford Canucks411211–15-43.375
28San Jose Barracuda410311–20-92.250
29Syracuse Crunch41036–16-102.250
30Providence Bruins51049–14-52.200

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →