VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Izhevsk — Omskie Krylia

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Model prediction for 20 October

Izhevsk32%
Draw in regulation23%
Omskie Krylia45%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Omskie Krylia are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Izhevsk — Omskie Krylia2.1–2.5
Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Izhevsk
  • Izhevsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Izhevsk

  • 13.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
  • 11.10away · Krasnoyarsk2:3
  • 08.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 03.10Kaluga1:3
  • 01.10AKM4:3 OT

Omskie Krylia

  • 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
  • 11.10Dizel3:2
  • 09.10Tambov5:1
  • 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3

Head to head

  • 28.12.2025Izhevsk — Omskie Krylia3:2
  • 25.11.2025Omskie Krylia — Izhevsk1:2
  • 06.03.2025Izhevsk — Omskie Krylia4:3
  • 16.09.2024Omskie Krylia — Izhevsk4:2
  • 11.12.2023Omskie Krylia — Izhevsk5:4 OT

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
4, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
27CSK VVS16411131–56-259
28Izhevsk1332829–40-118
29Krasnoyarsk14401023–36-138

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →