Kaluga — Gornyak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Kaluga are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 23%.
Why
- Kaluga are more dangerous in attack: 2.1 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — Gornyak | 2.1–1.8 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 23% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 77% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Orsk1:2 SO
- 07.10away · Perm3:1
- 05.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:0
- 03.10away · Izhevsk3:1
- 01.10away · Olympia3:2 OT
- 06.10Bars2:3
- 04.10Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 02.10CSK VVS5:2
- 26.09away · Khimik4:1
- 24.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
VHL on the same day
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →