Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Karlovy Vary — Pardubice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pardubice are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karlovy Vary — Pardubice | 2.2–2.5 | |
| Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Karlovy Vary
- Karlovy Vary goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Kladno3:1
- 09.10away · Liberec0:5
- 04.10Plzen4:1
- 02.10away · Vitkovice3:0
- 28.09away · Sparta Prague1:0
- 11.10Trinec5:4 OT
- 09.10away · Vitkovice3:2
- 04.10Sparta Prague6:4
- 02.10Plzen4:2
- 29.09Ceske Budejovice5:2
Head to head
- 20.09.2026Pardubice — Karlovy Vary5:2
- 01.03.2026Pardubice — Karlovy Vary4:3 OT
- 02.01.2026Karlovy Vary — Pardubice3:2 OT
- 20.11.2025Pardubice — Karlovy Vary4:1
- 03.10.2025Karlovy Vary — Pardubice0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Trinec | 10 | 9 | +26 | 28 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- LitvinovVitkovicepreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Mlada BoleslavSparta Praguepreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- PlzenTrinecpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- KladnoLiberecpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- OlomoucCeske Budejovicepreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →