KHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Khabarovsk — Vladivostok
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Khabarovsk 51%, Vladivostok 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khabarovsk — Vladivostok | 2.3–2.3 | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khabarovsk
- Khabarovsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Lada1:0
- 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
- 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
- 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3
- 10.10Lada4:3 OT
- 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
- 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
- 01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO
Head to head
- 16.02.2026Vladivostok — Khabarovsk0:3
- 03.01.2026Vladivostok — Khabarovsk3:2
- 17.12.2025Khabarovsk — Vladivostok3:1
- 26.11.2025Vladivostok — Khabarovsk4:1
- 16.11.2025Khabarovsk — Vladivostok2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- LadaSochipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlCherepovetspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
- SKA St. PetersburgCSKA Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Spartak MoscowShanghaipreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →