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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Khimik — AKM

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Model prediction for 20 October

Khimik60%
Draw in regulation20%
AKM21%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Khimik are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Khimik — AKM3.1–1.9
Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout)72%
AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout)28%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Khimik
  • Khimik goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Khimik

  • 10.10away · Bars1:2
  • 08.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
  • 06.10away · CSK VVS8:2
  • 02.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:0
  • 30.09Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT

AKM

  • 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
  • 10.10Orsk3:0
  • 05.10away · Perm0:3
  • 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0
  • 01.10away · Izhevsk3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 10.03.2026AKM — Khimik0:2
  • 05.09.2025Khimik — AKM2:5
  • 26.02.2025AKM — Khimik4:3 OT
  • 25.09.2024Khimik — AKM3:2 SO
  • 12.02.2024AKM — Khimik3:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, PlayoffsOrsk1283135–22+1319
6, PlayoffsAKM1483343–32+1119
7, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk1483327–16+1119
8, PlayoffsKaluga1383229–19+1019
9, PlayoffsKhimik1482446–28+1818
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg1280432–21+1116

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • IzhevskOmskie Krylia
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • OlympiaKurgan
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
  • Zvezda MoscowRyazan
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →