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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Kladno — Liberec

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Model prediction for 30 October

Kladno37%
Draw in regulation22%
Liberec41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Kladno 48%, Liberec 52% including overtime.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kladno — Liberec2.5–2.6
Kladno to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kladno
  • Kladno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kladno

  • 11.10away · Karlovy Vary1:3
  • 09.10Mlada Boleslav4:3
  • 04.10away · Litvinov3:2 OT
  • 02.10Mountfield HK3:4 SO
  • 29.09away · Trinec4:6

Liberec

  • 11.10away · Ceske Budejovice3:4
  • 09.10Karlovy Vary5:0
  • 04.10away · Mlada Boleslav5:3
  • 02.10Olomouc2:0
  • 29.09away · Litvinov4:5 SO

Head to head

  • 20.09.2026Liberec — Kladno1:3
  • 25.01.2026Kladno — Liberec0:2
  • 21.12.2025Liberec — Kladno4:1
  • 28.10.2025Kladno — Liberec4:3 SO
  • 21.09.2025Liberec — Kladno4:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice10501427–31-416
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec10402429–29014
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • LitvinovVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • Mlada BoleslavSparta Praguepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
  • PlzenTrinecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Karlovy VaryPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • OlomoucCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →