Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, 20:00 MSK

Kladno — Sparta Prague

Model prediction for 27 October

Kladno32%

Draw in regulation22%

Sparta Prague46%

Model estimate at 05:57 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sparta Prague are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kladno — Sparta Prague		2.3–2.7
Kladno to win (incl. OT and shootout)		42%
Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout)		58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Kladno
Kladno goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Kladno

11.10away · Karlovy Vary1:3
09.10Mlada Boleslav4:3
04.10away · Litvinov3:2 OT
02.10Mountfield HK3:4 SO
29.09away · Trinec4:6

Sparta Prague

11.10Vitkovice3:0
08.10Kometa Brno3:4 OT
04.10away · Pardubice4:6
01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4

Head to head

18.09.2026Kladno — Sparta Prague3:2 SO
15.03.2026Sparta Prague — Kladno3:2 OT
13.03.2026Kladno — Sparta Prague2:5
12.03.2026Kladno — Sparta Prague2:1 OT
10.03.2026Sparta Prague — Kladno3:2 SO

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Ceske Budejovice	10	5	0	1	4	27–31	-4	16
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Kladno	10	3	2	2	3	29–32	-3	15
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Sparta Prague	10	4	0	2	4	31–28	+3	14
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Liberec	10	4	0	2	4	29–29	0	14

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

19:30
Ceske BudejoviceMountfield HKpreliminary
5248
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
19:30
PlzenOlomoucpreliminary
7228
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.4
20:00
Karlovy VaryMlada Boleslavpreliminary
6733
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
20:00
PardubiceLitvinovpreliminary
8020
1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →